Volumes in phase space contract exponentially fast:
\[\frac{1}{V} \frac{dV}{dt} = -\nabla \cdot \vec{u} = -\left( \frac{\partial \dot{x}}{\partial x} + \frac{\partial \dot{y}}{\partial y} + \frac{\partial \dot{z}}{\partial z} \right) = -(\sigma + 1 + b) \Rightarrow V(t) = V(0) \exp \left[ -(\sigma + 1 + b)t \right] \]Setting \(\dot{x} = \dot{y} = \dot{z} = 0\), there are three solutions.
One solution which is always present is
\(
x^* = y^* = z^* = 0
\)
Linearize about this solution obtain
\(
\frac{d}{dt} \begin{pmatrix} \delta x \\ \delta y \\ \delta z \end{pmatrix}
=
\begin{pmatrix}
-\sigma & \sigma & 0 \\
r & -1 & 0 \\
0 & 0 & -b
\end{pmatrix}
\begin{pmatrix} \delta x \\ \delta y \\ \delta z \end{pmatrix}.
\)
The eigenvalues of the linearized dynamics are
\(
\lambda_{1,2} = -\frac{1}{2}(1 + \sigma) \pm \frac{1}{2} \sqrt{(1 + \sigma)^2 + 4\sigma(r - 1)},
\quad
\lambda_3 = -b,
\)
and thus if \(0 < r < 1\), all three eigenvalues are negative, and the fixed point is a stable node.
If \(r > 1\), then \(\lambda_2 > 0\), and the fixed point is attractive in two directions
but repulsive in a third, corresponding to a three-dimensional version of a saddle point.
For \(r > 1\), a new pair of solutions emerges, with
\(
x^* = y^* = \pm \sqrt{b(r - 1)}, \quad z^* = r - 1.
\)
Linearizing about either one of these fixed points, find
\(
\frac{d}{dt} \begin{pmatrix} \delta x \\ \delta y \\ \delta z \end{pmatrix}
=
\begin{pmatrix}
-\sigma & \sigma & 0 \\
1 & -1 & -x^* \\
x^* & x^* & -b
\end{pmatrix}
\begin{pmatrix} \delta x \\ \delta y \\ \delta z \end{pmatrix}.
\)
The characteristic polynomial of the linearized map is
\(
P(\lambda) = \lambda^3 + (b + \sigma + 1)\lambda^2 + b(\sigma + r)\lambda + 2b(r - 1).
\)
Since \(b, \sigma, r\) are all positive, \(P'(\lambda) > 0\) for all \(\lambda \geq 0\).
Since \(P(0) = 2b(r - 1) > 0\), there is always at least one eigenvalue \(\lambda_1\)
which is real and negative. The remaining two eigenvalues are either both real and negative,
or else they occur as a complex conjugate pair: \(\lambda_{2,3} = \alpha \pm i \beta\).
The fixed point is stable provided \(\alpha < 0\).
The stability boundary lies at \(\alpha = 0\). Thus, set
\(
P(i\beta) = \left[ 2b(r - 1) - (b + \sigma + 1)\beta^2 \right]
+ i \left[ b(\sigma + r) - \beta^2 \right] \beta = 0,
\)
which results in two equations. Solving these two equations for \(r(\sigma, b)\), find
\(
r_c = \frac{\sigma(\sigma + b + 3)}{\sigma - b - 1}.
\)
The fixed point is stable for \(r \in [1, r_c]\). These fixed points correspond to steady convection.
The Lorenz system has commonly been studied with \(\sigma = 10\) and \(b = \frac{8}{3}\). This means that the volume collapse is very rapid, since
\(
-\nabla \cdot \vec{u} = -\frac{41}{3} \approx -13.67,
\)
leading to a volume contraction of
\(
e^{-41/3} \approx 1.16 \times 10^{-6}
\)
per unit time. For these parameters, one also has
\(
r_c = \frac{470}{19} \approx 24.74
\)